Reports

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Reports

21 January, 2026

Managing Global Competition Through Economic Diplomacy

This annual analytical report of the Center for Economic Diplomacy at the Institute for Advanced International Studies (IAIS) provides a comprehensive assessment of Uzbekistan’s external economic environment and internal transformation agenda amid accelerating global fragmentation, geopolitical uncertainty, and technological change. Structured around four interlinked pillars – regional and bilateral trade cooperation, global economic governance and financial architecture, digital and innovation-driven cooperation, and long-term socio-economic transformation, the report analyses Uzbekistan’s positioning within key economic spaces, including ECO, China–Central Asia relations, BRICS frameworks, the Organization of Turkic States, and cooperation with the European Union. Particular attention is devoted to export diversification, WTO accession, alternative financial mechanisms, digitalization, and poverty reduction strategies. Combining quantitative data with institutional and policy analysis, the report is designed for policymakers, economic planners, diplomats, and researchers seeking a strategic understanding of how Uzbekistan can enhance resilience, preserve economic sovereignty, and secure sustainable growth through diversified integration into regional and global markets. * The Institute for Advanced International Studies (IAIS) does not take institutional positions on any issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the IAIS.

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Reports

21 January, 2026

Afghanistan: Contemporary Developments & Alternative Perspectives. 2025 edition

The annual report Afghanistan: Contemporary Developments & Alternative Perspectives (2025 edition), produced by the Center for Afghanistan and South Asian Studies at the Institute for Advanced International Studies (IAIS), offers a policy-relevant overview of Afghanistan’s ongoing transformation and its implications for regional stability and cooperation. Drawing on analytical chapters and expert commentaries prepared by IAIS researchers and external contributors, the publication highlights the key dynamics shaping Afghanistan. It addresses security developments, political shifts, economic management under international constraints, cross-border trade and infrastructure initiatives, water-related challenges, as well as social issues including education and women’s rights. The report also underscores Afghanistan’s emerging function as a bridge between Central and South Asia, while examining how neighboring states adjust their approaches — including Uzbekistan’s engagement agenda, connectivity priorities, and the risks associated with long-term uncertainty. Prepared at the intersection of academic research and applied analysis, the report is designed for policymakers, diplomats, analysts, and practitioners seeking a structured and evidence-based perspective on Afghanistan’s current trajectory and possible future scenarios. * The Institute for Advanced International Studies (IAIS) does not take institutional positions on any issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the IAIS.

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Reports

23 October, 2025

Central Asia – Afghanistan Cooperation: Challenges and Opportunities

This joint report by Hamza Boltaev and Nargiza Umarova co-authored with Mukhit Assanbayev (Kazakhstan Institute for Strategic Studies under the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan) argues that Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan pursue a pragmatic, security-first engagement with Afghanistan rooted in dialogue, humanitarian support, and connectivity. Framed as “new horizons of interaction”, the authors contend that Astana and Tashkent see Afghanistan less as a threat than as a land bridge linking Central and South Asia, and therefore prioritize bilateral channels that move faster than complex multilateral formats while still seeking UN-aligned international legitimacy.   A second pillar of the study evaluates southern transit routes designed to rebalance Eurasian freight flows. It highlights the China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan railway (with onward links to Iran and the Caspian) and two competing Trans-Afghan rail concepts: Uzbekistan’s Kabul corridor (Termez–Kharlachi) and the western branch backed by Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan (Torgundi–Herat–Kandahar). The authors note potential synergies with the Middle (Trans-Caspian) Corridor and Lapis Lazuli route, but also underline strategic trade-offs – route choices will shape tariff competition, market access to the EU, Türkiye and South Asia, and the distribution of future transit revenues across the region.   The report devotes a full section to Afghanistan’s Qosh-Tepa canal, presenting it as both a domestic state-building project and a transboundary risk. It traces the thin legal scaffolding governing Amu Darya flows, the scale and pace of construction, and the likelihood of sizable upstream abstraction intensifying water stress downstream in Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. In the authors’ view, climate volatility, agricultural dependence, and existing infrastructure deficits compound these risks, raising the prospect of knock-on effects for rural livelihoods, internal migration, and food security across the lower basin.   Policy-wise, the study recommends sustained, interest-based engagement with Kabul; parallel investment in diversified corridors (including links via Iran and the South Caucasus); and a structured, region-wide water dialogue that brings Afghanistan into Central Asia’s resource-management frameworks. Its core message is pragmatic: political stabilization, transport integration, and water governance are inseparable – progress on one track will be fragile without movement on the others.   * The Institute for Advanced International Studies (IAIS) does not take institutional positions on any issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the IAIS.

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Reports

19 May, 2025

Uzbekistan’s Emerging IT Class and its Socio-Economic Impact

The Institute for Advanced International Studies (IAIS) at the University of World Economy and Diplomacy in cooperation with the Friedrich Ebert Foundation’s Representative Office in Central Asia in 2023-2024 implemented a research project dedicated to the study of a new social group - the emerging IT class in Uzbekistan.   The project was part of an effort to understand the impact of the information technology industry on societal transformation, employment and the innovation economy in the era of the Fourth Industrial Revolution and digitalization. The study aims to identify the main characteristics, values and economic role of the IT class representatives, as well as to assess the impact of the government’s digital policy and vocational education system.   The main directions of the research: Sociological analysis — conducting a large-scale field stage (survey of 326 IT specialists in 10 regions, expert interviews, focus groups). Mapping of the IT class — building a portrait of a typical representative: demographics, education, professional path, sources of income. Studying the digital environment and educational practices — analyzing the channels of knowledge acquisition and assessing the quality of higher education in the IT sphere. Regional imbalance — study of personnel migration from the regions to the capital and factors affecting the inflow and retention of specialists. Public policy evaluation — consideration of digital inclusion programs, legal and tax incentives for IT companies.   The aim of the project is to form an empirical basis for understanding the social and economic significance of the IT class in Uzbekistan, as well as to develop proposals to improve the conditions for its development and integration into the national strategy for sustainable growth.   * The Institute for Advanced International Studies (IAIS) does not take institutional positions on any issues; the views represented herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the IAIS.