The policy brief by Professor Ibragim Mavlanov is devoted to the assessment of Uzbekistan’s export potential in the context of its aspiration to join the ranks of developed countries. The author emphasises that the country’s share in world exports is an important macroeconomic indicator reflecting its place in the global economy. The paper examines the dynamics of Uzbek exports since 1992, including periods of growth, stagnation and subsequent recovery. It analyses the government’s strategic goals, including the New Uzbekistan-2026 and Uzbekistan-2030 programmes aimed at increasing exports to $45 billion, as well as the impact of international economic factors on the development of foreign trade.
Based on a comparative analysis with developed and developing countries, the author concludes that to meet the economic standards of developed countries, Uzbekistan needs to multiply its exports – up to $125-500 billion per year. To achieve this goal, it is proposed to pay special attention not only to increasing exports of traditional goods, but also to the development of the services sector and intellectual property. The document underlines the key role of economic diplomacy in creating favourable conditions for export growth and strengthening the country’s international trade relations.
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